Asmaa Jamal Awad,Ahmed Abdulrasool Ahmed,Osamah Abdallatif,



Matlab software, Generator,Artificial Intelligent (AI),


Frequent failure in production systems is one of the most important problems facing maintenance planners. In this paper, the methodology for estimating failure in an electrical energy production system has been proposed.Consisting of a number of related sub-systems, respectively, failure of any one causes the rest to stop producing.Operating data were collected and the type of failure identified, which was classified into three types (mechanical failure, electrical failure, and control failure). The software (Matlab) was used in generating and training an artificial neural network (ANN) to estimate the type of failure, through the data collected for each sub-system of the unit under study, use 90% of the data for training, 5% for testing, and 5% for valuation. The target matrix was built and trained, with a mean square error (MSE) its(6.54 E-16), and regression (91%), and adopted to estimate the type of future failure for subsequent years(2019),conformance results were for the subsequent year between (82%-87%) for all the subsystems. Using the artificial neural network, failure types were estimated for another subsequent year (2020), the failure ratios were for subsystems for every ten days during the year of estimation, were (33%) for the generator, (22%) for the boiler, (31%) for the turbine, and (13%) for the condenser. High percentages, which can be reduced by taking advantage of the proposed methodology that gave an understanding of the type of failure, the time it occurred, and the location of the failure, by building an overlapping preventive maintenance plan whose application is approved in reducing the failuretimes of the unit under study.The proposed methodology can also be applied to all other systems of different production


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