COVID-19 IN INDIA AND SIR MODEL

Asish Mitra,

DOI NO:

https://doi.org/10.26782/jmcms.2020.07.00001

Keywords:

COVID-19,India,SIR Model,Parameter Estimation,Simulation,

Abstract

In the present numerical investigation, the epidemic patterns of Covid-19 in India is studied from a mathematical modeling perspective. The study is based on the simple SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) deterministic compartmental model. It is analyzed fully and then calibrated against publicly available epidemiological data from late January until 10 July 2020 for interpreting the transmission dynamics of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in India. The purpose of this study is to give a tentative prediction of the epidemic peak and sizes in our country.

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